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2025-03-06 대형주 가치투자 전략

March 6, 2025, 7:38 a.m.

주의: 금리 역전 발생


2025년 03월 06일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

  • 금리 역전 현상: 발생
    • 10Y-2Y: 0.29% (+3bp)
    • 10Y-3M: -0.07% (+5bp)
  • 변동성(VIX): 정상 · 21.9 (-6.7%)
  • 투자 심리(FearGreed): Extreme Fear · 22.0 (+29.4%)
  • 시장 동향:
    • S&P 500: 상승 (+1.1%)
    • KOSPI 200: 강보합 (+0.9%)

2. 저평가 대형주 현황

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
PayPalPYPL-0.120.37Financial ServicesCredit Services
Hewlett Packard EnterpriseHPE-0.270.32TechnologyCommunication Equipment
JabilJBL-0.210.43TechnologyElectronic Components
ViatrisVTRS-0.290.41HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
APA CorporationAPA-0.240.48EnergyOil & Gas E&P
AmentumAMTM-0.080.65IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
ON SemiconductorON-0.510.30TechnologySemiconductors
Akamai TechnologiesAKAM-0.290.53TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
LyondellBasellLYB-0.270.58Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
CumminsCMI-0.380.47IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
Skyworks SolutionsSWKS-0.490.38TechnologySemiconductors
Best BuyBBY-0.230.65Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
LeidosLDOS-0.290.60TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesHII-0.340.57IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
Builders FirstSourceBLDR-0.390.52IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
Global PaymentsGPN-0.460.45IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBD-0.440.49Communication ServicesEntertainment
Gen DigitalGEN-0.400.54TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
QorvoQRVO-0.330.62TechnologySemiconductors
Zimmer BiometZBH-0.450.52HealthcareMedical Devices
Micron TechnologyMUSELL0.660.33TechnologySemiconductors
BiogenBIIB-0.480.54HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
HP Inc.HPQSELL0.450.59TechnologyComputer Hardware
Eastman Chemical CompanyEMN-0.530.51Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
IQVIAIQV-0.450.68HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Quest DiagnosticsDGX-0.410.72HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
LabCorpLH-0.340.79HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
PfizerPFE-0.510.63HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Darden RestaurantsDRI-0.420.73Consumer CyclicalRestaurants
Match GroupMTCH-0.400.74Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information
Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI-0.600.56Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH-0.400.76Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
Devon EnergyDVN-0.480.68EnergyOil & Gas E&P
Centene CorporationCNC-0.580.59HealthcareHealthcare Plans
Mosaic Company (The)MOS-0.400.77Basic MaterialsAgricultural Inputs
Edison InternationalEIX-0.420.76UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
PaycomPAYC-0.700.49TechnologySoftware - Application
CorpayCPAYSELL0.570.64TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
CarnivalCCL-0.430.79Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
GeneracGNRC-0.480.74IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
Bio-Rad LaboratoriesBIO-0.440.79HealthcareMedical Devices
TextronTXT-0.550.68IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
CognizantCTSH-0.560.68TechnologyInformation Technology Services
PepsiCoPEP-0.490.75Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
PG&E CorporationPCG-0.490.79UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
MedtronicMDT-0.590.71HealthcareMedical Devices
QualcommQCOM-0.800.50TechnologySemiconductors
A. O. SmithAOS-0.670.67IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
HalliburtonHAL-0.600.75EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services
WestRockWRK-0.640.72Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers
Dollar GeneralDG-0.780.58Consumer DefensiveDiscount Stores
BorgWarnerBWA-0.600.79Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
Bunge GlobalBG-0.730.66Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
Automatic Data ProcessingADP-0.730.69TechnologySoftware - Application
SterisSTE-0.670.78HealthcareMedical Devices
PPG IndustriesPPG-0.730.72Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Applied MaterialsAMAT-0.740.72TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & Materials

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
LS006260.KS-0.100.37IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
LG이노텍011070.KS-0.290.22TechnologyElectronic Components
세방전지004490.KS-0.380.18IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
HD한국조선해양009540.KS-0.320.34IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
아모레G002790.KS-0.550.11Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
대웅003090.KS-0.290.39HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
종근당185750.KS-0.410.32HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
HD현대267250.KS-0.500.29EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
현대건설000720.KS-0.370.47IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
더블유게임즈192080.KS-0.760.12Communication ServicesElectronic Gaming & Multimedia
대한유화006650.KS-0.360.62Basic MaterialsChemicals
LX인터내셔널001120.KS-0.570.48IndustrialsConglomerates
GS리테일007070.KS-0.400.66Consumer CyclicalDepartment Stores
현대위아011210.KS-0.410.69Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
SK네트웍스001740.KS-0.760.37IndustrialsConglomerates
KCC002380.KS-0.520.64Basic MaterialsChemicals
DL이앤씨375500.KS-0.700.50IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
삼성SDI006400.KS-0.690.53IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
DB하이텍000990.KS-0.730.57TechnologySemiconductors
CJ001040.KS-0.760.55IndustrialsConglomerates
한국항공우주047810.KS-0.760.57IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
씨에스윈드112610.KS-0.690.68IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
KG스틸016380.KS-0.770.62Basic MaterialsSteel

3. 투자 전략

• 금리 역전이 발생한 상황으로, 보수적인 접근이 필요합니다.

• 현금 비중을 30% 이상으로 유지하는 것을 권장합니다.

• 투자 심리가 극도로 위축된 상황으로, 중장기 투자자에게는 좋은 매수 기회가 될 수 있습니다.

• 단, 시장 하락 가능성이 있어 분할 매수 전략이 필요합니다.


본 리포트는 투자정보 제공이 목적이며, 시장 상황에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있습니다. 제시된 정보는 투자 참고사항이며, 투자 판단의 최종 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.

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