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2025-03-09 대형주 가치투자 전략

March 9, 2025, 10:24 p.m.

주의: 금리 역전 발생


2025년 03월 09일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

  • 금리 역전 현상: 발생
    • 10Y-2Y: 0.33% (변동없음)
    • 10Y-3M: -0.02% (+3bp)
  • 변동성(VIX): 정상 · 23.4 (-6.0%)
  • 투자 심리(FearGreed): Extreme Fear · 20.0 (+11.1%)
  • 시장 동향:
    • S&P 500: 강보합 (+0.6%)
    • KOSPI 200: 약보합 (-0.6%)

2. 저평가 대형주 현황

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
Hewlett Packard EnterpriseHPE-0.230.28TechnologyCommunication Equipment
PayPalPYPL-0.130.39Financial ServicesCredit Services
JabilJBL-0.200.42TechnologyElectronic Components
ViatrisVTRS-0.300.42HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
APA CorporationAPA-0.250.48EnergyOil & Gas E&P
AmentumAMTM-0.090.67IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
ON SemiconductorON-0.510.30TechnologySemiconductors
CumminsCMI-0.360.46IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
Akamai TechnologiesAKAM-0.300.57TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
LyondellBasellLYB-0.280.59Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Builders FirstSourceBLDR-0.390.50IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
Best BuyBBY-0.230.65Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBD-0.430.48Communication ServicesEntertainment
Global PaymentsGPN-0.460.46IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
LeidosLDOS-0.290.64TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Skyworks SolutionsSWKS-0.530.42TechnologySemiconductors
Gen DigitalGENBUY0.400.56TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesHII-0.360.61IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
Micron TechnologyMU-0.660.34TechnologySemiconductors
Zimmer BiometZBH-0.470.54HealthcareMedical Devices
QorvoQRVO-0.360.68TechnologySemiconductors
BiogenBIIB-0.500.56HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
LabCorpLH-0.310.75HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Quest DiagnosticsDGX-0.380.69HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI-0.560.52Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Eastman Chemical CompanyEMN-0.550.53Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
IQVIAIQV-0.440.67HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
HP Inc.HPQ-0.470.64TechnologyComputer Hardware
Centene CorporationCNC-0.560.59HealthcareHealthcare Plans
PaycomPAYC-0.690.47TechnologySoftware - Application
PfizerPFE-0.520.64HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Mosaic Company (The)MOS-0.400.77Basic MaterialsAgricultural Inputs
Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH-0.400.77Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
CorpayCPAY-0.540.63TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Darden RestaurantsDRI-0.420.75Consumer CyclicalRestaurants
Match GroupMTCH-0.420.76Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information
Devon EnergyDVN-0.510.68EnergyOil & Gas E&P
Edison InternationalEIX-0.440.77UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
CarnivalCCL-0.420.79Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
Regeneron PharmaceuticalsREGN-0.800.43HealthcareBiotechnology
CognizantCTSH-0.540.69TechnologyInformation Technology Services
PepsiCoPEP-0.490.75Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Bio-Rad LaboratoriesBIO-0.470.79HealthcareMedical Devices
TextronTXT-0.560.71IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
GeneracGNRC-0.490.78IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
PG&E CorporationPCG-0.490.79UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
WestRockWRK-0.620.71Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers
MedtronicMDT-0.610.72HealthcareMedical Devices
HalliburtonHAL-0.620.74EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services
Bunge GlobalBG-0.710.65Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
A. O. SmithAOS-0.690.71IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
Automatic Data ProcessingADP-0.730.67TechnologySoftware - Application
Western DigitalWDC-0.790.61TechnologyComputer Hardware
BorgWarnerBWA-0.620.80Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
Applied MaterialsAMAT-0.740.72TechnologySemiconductor Equipment & Materials
PPG IndustriesPPG-0.760.74Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
SalesforceCRM-0.790.79TechnologySoftware - Application

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
LS006260.KS-0.070.38IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
세방전지004490.KS-0.350.20IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
LG이노텍011070.KS-0.320.23TechnologyElectronic Components
HD한국조선해양009540.KS-0.300.32IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
아모레G002790.KS-0.550.12Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
대웅003090.KS-0.290.39HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
종근당185750.KS-0.410.32HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
HD현대267250.KS-0.470.28EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
더블유게임즈192080.KS-0.770.12Communication ServicesElectronic Gaming & Multimedia
현대건설000720.KS-0.400.51IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
GS리테일007070.KS-0.360.65Consumer CyclicalDepartment Stores
LX인터내셔널001120.KS-0.550.49IndustrialsConglomerates
SK네트웍스001740.KS-0.730.37IndustrialsConglomerates
대한유화006650.KS-0.400.71Basic MaterialsChemicals
KCC002380.KS-0.530.65Basic MaterialsChemicals
현대위아011210.KS-0.440.75Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
삼성SDI006400.KS-0.650.58IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
CJ001040.KS-0.730.54IndustrialsConglomerates
씨에스윈드112610.KS-0.640.65IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
DL이앤씨375500.KS-0.730.56IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
DB하이텍000990.KS-0.760.71TechnologySemiconductors

3. 투자 전략

• 금리 역전이 발생한 상황으로, 보수적인 접근이 필요합니다.

• 현금 비중을 30% 이상으로 유지하는 것을 권장합니다.

• 투자 심리가 극도로 위축된 상황으로, 중장기 투자자에게는 좋은 매수 기회가 될 수 있습니다.

• 단, 시장 하락 가능성이 있어 분할 매수 전략이 필요합니다.


본 리포트는 투자정보 제공이 목적이며, 시장 상황에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있습니다. 제시된 정보는 투자 참고사항이며, 투자 판단의 최종 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.

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