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2025-03-22 대형주 가치투자 전략

March 22, 2025, 12:28 p.m.

주의: 금리 역전 발생


2025년 03월 22일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

  • 금리 역전 현상: 발생
    • 10Y-2Y: 0.31% (+2bp)
    • 10Y-3M: -0.08% (+1bp)
  • 변동성(VIX): 정상 · 19.3 (-2.6%)
  • 투자 심리(FearGreed): Extreme Fear · 23.0 (+4.5%)
  • 시장 동향:
    • S&P 500: 보합 (변동없음)
    • KOSPI 200: 강보합 (+0.5%)

2. 저평가 대형주 현황

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
Hewlett Packard EnterpriseHPE-0.230.30TechnologyCommunication Equipment
PayPalPYPL-0.130.40Financial ServicesCredit Services
ViatrisVTRS-0.280.42HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
APA CorporationAPA-0.250.50EnergyOil & Gas E&P
CumminsCMI-0.360.45IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
JabilJBL-0.200.61TechnologyElectronic Components
AmentumAMTM-0.090.74IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Akamai TechnologiesAKAM-0.280.56TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
ON SemiconductorON-0.520.32TechnologySemiconductors
LyondellBasellLYB-0.270.58Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Best BuyBBY-0.230.62Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Builders FirstSourceBLDR-0.360.49IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
Global PaymentsGPN-0.470.42IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
LeidosLDOS-0.300.63TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBD-0.440.49Communication ServicesEntertainment
Skyworks SolutionsSWKS-0.520.42TechnologySemiconductors
Gen DigitalGEN-0.390.56TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Micron TechnologyMU-0.670.33TechnologySemiconductors
BiogenBIIBSELL0.470.54HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesHII-0.380.63IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
HP Inc.HPQ-0.410.61TechnologyComputer Hardware
Eastman Chemical CompanyEMN-0.520.51Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
LabcorpLH-0.320.73HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI-0.550.51Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
QorvoQRVO-0.360.70TechnologySemiconductors
Zimmer BiometZBH-0.510.57HealthcareMedical Devices
Quest DiagnosticsDGX-0.400.69HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
IQVIAIQV-0.460.68HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Match GroupMTCH-0.420.74Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information
Centene CorporationCNC-0.570.60HealthcareHealthcare Plans
Devon EnergyDVN-0.470.70EnergyOil & Gas E&P
PfizerPFE-0.520.65HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
CognizantCTSH-0.530.65TechnologyInformation Technology Services
PepsiCoPEP-0.470.72Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH-0.410.79Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
Darden RestaurantsDRI-0.430.78Consumer CyclicalRestaurants
CarnivalCCL-0.430.78Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
Edison InternationalEIX-0.440.77UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
CorpayCPAY-0.560.67TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
PaycomPAYC-0.740.49TechnologySoftware - Application
Regeneron PharmaceuticalsREGN-0.790.44HealthcareBiotechnology
Mosaic Company (The)MOS-0.450.80Basic MaterialsAgricultural Inputs
TextronTXT-0.560.69IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
GeneracGNRC-0.500.78IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
MedtronicMDT-0.610.72HealthcareMedical Devices
HalliburtonHAL-0.600.74EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services
Western DigitalWDC-0.750.63TechnologyComputer Hardware
Automatic Data ProcessingADP-0.730.65TechnologySoftware - Application
A. O. SmithAOS-0.700.70IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
Bunge GlobalBG-0.740.67Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
WestRockWRK-0.670.74Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers
MascoMAS-0.770.70IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
SterisSTE-0.700.80HealthcareMedical Devices
PPG IndustriesPPG-0.760.74Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
HD한국조선해양009540.KS-0.270.21IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
LG이노텍011070.KS-0.280.21TechnologyElectronic Components
LS006260.KS-0.090.44IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
세방전지004490.KS-0.350.20IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
아모레G002790.KS-0.530.09Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
HD현대267250.KS-0.470.15EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
한화000880.KS-0.560.09IndustrialsConglomerates
대웅003090.KS-0.290.43HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
현대건설000720.KS-0.400.42IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
종근당185750.KS-0.460.41HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
더블유게임즈192080.KS-0.790.16Communication ServicesElectronic Gaming & Multimedia
DL이앤씨375500.KS-0.700.29IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
대한유화006650.KS-0.470.58Basic MaterialsChemicals
현대위아011210.KS-0.450.77Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
삼성SDI006400.KS-0.640.61IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
LX인터내셔널001120.KS-0.480.78IndustrialsConglomerates
현대엘리베이017800.KS-0.790.48IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
KCC002380.KS-0.650.66Basic MaterialsChemicals
씨에스윈드112610.KS-0.650.69IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
GS리테일007070.KS-0.670.77Consumer CyclicalDepartment Stores

3. 투자 전략

• 금리 역전이 발생한 상황으로, 보수적인 접근이 필요합니다.

• 현금 비중을 30% 이상으로 유지하는 것을 권장합니다.

• 투자 심리가 극도로 위축된 상황으로, 중장기 투자자에게는 좋은 매수 기회가 될 수 있습니다.

• 단, 시장 하락 가능성이 있어 분할 매수 전략이 필요합니다.


본 리포트는 투자정보 제공이 목적이며, 시장 상황에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있습니다. 제시된 정보는 투자 참고사항이며, 투자 판단의 최종 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.

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