FinSwanX

2025-06-06 대형주 가치투자 전략

June 6, 2025, 7:30 a.m.

금리 역전, Sell: 2

2025년 06월 06일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

금리 역전 현상: 발생
- 10Y-2Y: 0.48% (-2bp)
- 10Y-3M: -0.04% (+3bp)
변동성(VIX): 정상 · 18.5 (+4.9%)
투자 심리(FearGreed): Greed · 58.0 (-1.7%)
시장 동향:
- S&P 500: 약보합 (-0.5%)
- KOSPI 200: 상승 (+1.8%)

2. 섹터 트렌드 현황 (최근 30일)

[S&P500 섹터 트렌드]

시장	섹터	종목 수	매수	매도	트렌드
SNP500	Utilities	31	4	16	매도
SNP500	Real Estate	31	8	11	약매도
SNP500	Communication Services	23	9	3	약매수
SNP500	Consumer Cyclical	59	19	11	약매수
SNP500	Technology	83	38	2	매수
SNP500	Industrials	73	28	7	약매수
SNP500	Financial Services	69	27	5	매수
SNP500	Consumer Defensive	37	7	9	중립
SNP500	Basic Materials	22	8	1	약매수
SNP500	Healthcare	63	17	8	약매수
SNP500	Energy	23	5	1	약매수

[KOSPI200 섹터 트렌드]

시장	섹터	종목 수	매수	매도	트렌드
KOSPI200	Basic Materials	28	12	2	매수
KOSPI200	Consumer Defensive	21	3	6	약매도
KOSPI200	Financial Services	22	7	2	약매수
KOSPI200	Technology	16	6	0	매수
KOSPI200	Energy	3	1	0	약매수
KOSPI200	Healthcare	16	4	1	약매수
KOSPI200	Consumer Cyclical	34	5	5	중립
KOSPI200	Industrials	57	12	4	약매수
KOSPI200	Communication Services	11	2	1	중립
KOSPI200	Utilities	2	0	0	중립

3. 저평가 대형주 현황

가중점수 계산 방법: 각 지표의 상대비율에 가중치를 적용하여 계산한 종합 점수입니다.

EV/EBITDA: 45% (기업 가치 안정성)
P/S: 35% (매출 기반 밸류에이션)
P/E: 20% (수익성 고려)

점수가 낮을수록 해당 산업 내에서 상대적으로 저평가된 종목입니다.

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명	코드	기술적 신호	P/S 상대비율	EV/EBITDA 상대비율	P/E 상대비율	가중 점수	섹터	산업
PayPal	PYPL	-	0.13	0.36	0.44	0.29	Financial Services	Credit Services
Global Payments	GPN	-	0.34	0.41	0.29	0.36	Industrials	Specialty Business Services
Hewlett Packard Enterprise	HPE	-	0.25	0.36	0.62	0.37	Technology	Communication Equipment
APA Corporation	APA	-	0.24	0.45	0.48	0.38	Energy	Oil & Gas E&P
LyondellBasell	LYB	-	0.23	0.47	0.56	0.40	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
Eastman Chemical Company	EMN	-	0.50	0.38	0.30	0.41	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
Builders FirstSource	BLDR	-	0.28	0.50	0.52	0.43	Industrials	Building Products & Equipment
Zimmer Biomet	ZBH	-	0.38	0.43	0.52	0.43	Healthcare	Medical Devices
Target Corporation	TGT	-	0.39	0.44	0.48	0.43	Consumer Defensive	Discount Stores
Akamai Technologies	AKAM	-	0.24	0.47	0.72	0.44	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals	REGN	-	0.74	0.31	0.27	0.45	Healthcare	Biotechnology
HP Inc.	HPQ	-	0.35	0.52	0.53	0.46	Technology	Computer Hardware
Cummins	CMI	-	0.32	0.53	0.58	0.47	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
Bath & Body Works, Inc.	BBWI	-	0.45	0.51	0.40	0.47	Consumer Cyclical	Specialty Retail
Micron Technology	MU	-	0.65	0.34	0.60	0.50	Technology	Semiconductors
Edison International	EIX	-	0.45	0.61	0.37	0.51	Utilities	Utilities - Regulated Electric
Skyworks Solutions	SWKS	-	0.51	0.43	0.68	0.51	Technology	Semiconductors
Leidos	LDOS	-	0.29	0.70	0.55	0.52	Technology	Information Technology Services
Gen Digital	GEN	-	0.39	0.53	0.79	0.53	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
Viatris	VTRS	-	0.27	0.41	1.27	0.53	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Qualcomm	QCOM	-	0.70	0.47	0.37	0.53	Technology	Semiconductors
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings	NCLH	-	0.33	0.75	0.50	0.55	Consumer Cyclical	Travel Services
Corpay	CPAY	-	0.49	0.58	0.64	0.56	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
Devon Energy	DVN	-	0.45	0.66	0.54	0.56	Energy	Oil & Gas E&P
Huntington Ingalls Industries	HII	-	0.35	0.73	0.56	0.56	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
Medtronic	MDT	-	0.52	0.59	0.60	0.57	Healthcare	Medical Devices
IQVIA	IQV	-	0.43	0.62	0.69	0.57	Healthcare	Diagnostics & Research
Best Buy	BBY	-	0.20	0.69	0.93	0.57	Consumer Cyclical	Specialty Retail
Uber	UBER	-	0.46	0.79	0.29	0.58	Technology	Software - Application
PepsiCo	PEP	-	0.42	0.68	0.66	0.58	Consumer Defensive	Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Jabil	JBL	-	0.23	0.71	0.93	0.59	Technology	Electronic Components
Centene Corporation	CNC	-	0.56	0.62	0.61	0.59	Healthcare	Healthcare Plans
Invesco	IVZ	-	0.35	0.83	0.49	0.60	Financial Services	Asset Management
Textron	TXT	-	0.47	0.72	0.58	0.60	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
Cognizant	CTSH	-	0.50	0.69	0.63	0.61	Technology	Information Technology Services
Trimble Inc.	TRMB	-	1.00	0.41	0.41	0.62	Technology	Scientific & Technical Instruments
Generac	GNRC	-	0.43	0.70	0.81	0.63	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
A. O. Smith	AOS	-	0.60	0.65	0.66	0.63	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
ON Semiconductor	ON	-	0.57	0.59	0.85	0.64	Technology	Semiconductors
NXP Semiconductors	NXPI	-	0.77	0.58	0.56	0.64	Technology	Semiconductors
Caesars Entertainment	CZR	SELL	0.51	0.79	0.53	0.64	Consumer Cyclical	Resorts & Casinos
Quest Diagnostics	DGX	-	0.48	0.74	0.75	0.65	Healthcare	Diagnostics & Research
Healthpeak Properties	DOC	-	0.81	0.60	0.48	0.65	Real Estate	REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Carnival	CCL	-	0.43	0.79	0.73	0.65	Consumer Cyclical	Travel Services
Fox Corporation (Class B)	FOX	-	0.92	0.59	0.36	0.66	Communication Services	Entertainment
Biogen	BIIB	-	0.47	0.78	0.73	0.66	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
Bunge Global	BG	SELL	0.74	0.65	0.58	0.66	Consumer Defensive	Farm Products
Weyerhaeuser	WY	-	0.29	0.83	1.00	0.68	Real Estate	REIT - Specialty
Masco	MAS	-	0.61	0.75	0.62	0.68	Industrials	Building Products & Equipment
PPG Industries	PPG	-	0.83	0.62	0.58	0.68	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
Fox Corporation (Class A)	FOXA	-	0.99	0.59	0.39	0.69	Communication Services	Entertainment
F5, Inc.	FFIV	-	0.50	0.82	0.78	0.70	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
CDW Corporation	CDW	-	0.28	0.96	0.83	0.70	Technology	Information Technology Services
PG&E Corporation	PCG	-	0.53	0.82	0.71	0.70	Utilities	Utilities - Regulated Electric
Aptiv	APTV	-	1.04	0.52	0.50	0.70	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
Match Group	MTCH	-	0.43	0.86	0.82	0.70	Communication Services	Internet Content & Information
Expedia Group	EXPE	-	0.55	0.71	0.97	0.71	Consumer Cyclical	Travel Services
Crown Castle	CCI	-	0.72	0.74	0.63	0.71	Real Estate	REIT - Specialty
Halliburton	HAL	-	0.60	0.80	0.74	0.72	Energy	Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Bristol Myers Squibb	BMY	-	0.49	0.77	1.00	0.72	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
BorgWarner	BWA	-	0.65	0.63	1.04	0.72	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
Labcorp	LH	-	0.40	0.85	1.00	0.72	Healthcare	Diagnostics & Research
Paccar	PCAR	-	0.56	0.81	0.82	0.72	Industrials	Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Adobe Inc.	ADBE	-	0.96	0.62	0.55	0.73	Technology	Software - Application
Cboe Global Markets	CBOE	-	0.54	0.86	0.77	0.73	Financial Services	Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Darden Restaurants	DRI	-	0.50	0.85	0.87	0.73	Consumer Cyclical	Restaurants
Automatic Data Processing	ADP	-	0.81	0.70	0.67	0.73	Technology	Software - Application
Oneok	OKE	-	0.62	0.89	0.59	0.73	Energy	Oil & Gas Midstream
Merck & Co.	MRK	-	0.75	0.77	0.64	0.74	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
T. Rowe Price	TROW	-	0.96	0.69	0.46	0.74	Financial Services	Asset Management
FedEx	FDX	-	0.66	0.82	0.74	0.75	Industrials	Integrated Freight & Logistics
Salesforce	CRM	-	0.76	0.70	0.82	0.75	Technology	Software - Application
Paycom	PAYC	-	0.90	0.66	0.75	0.76	Technology	Software - Application
General Motors	GM	-	1.00	0.56	0.81	0.76	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Manufacturers
EPAM Systems	EPAM	-	0.52	0.88	0.93	0.77	Technology	Information Technology Services
Exelon	EXC	-	0.67	0.87	0.77	0.78	Utilities	Utilities - Regulated Electric
Kimberly-Clark	KMB	-	0.86	0.75	0.72	0.78	Consumer Defensive	Household & Personal Products
General Dynamics	GD	-	0.71	0.90	0.66	0.78	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
ConocoPhillips	COP	-	0.68	0.86	0.81	0.79	Energy	Oil & Gas E&P
Pfizer	PFE	-	0.51	0.93	0.95	0.79	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
Teleflex	TFX	-	0.57	0.81	1.15	0.79	Healthcare	Medical Instruments & Supplies
Abbott Laboratories	ABT	-	0.86	0.90	0.44	0.79	Healthcare	Medical Devices
Comcast	CMCSA	-	0.79	0.81	0.78	0.80	Communication Services	Telecom Services
Steris	STE	-	0.69	0.79	1.00	0.80	Healthcare	Medical Devices

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명	코드	기술적 신호	P/S 상대비율	EV/EBITDA 상대비율	P/E 상대비율	가중 점수	섹터	산업
녹십자홀딩스	005250.KS	-	0.03	0.22	0.17	0.14	Healthcare	Biotechnology
세방전지	004490.KS	-	0.29	0.14	0.06	0.17	Industrials	Electrical Equipment & Parts
LS	006260.KS	-	0.12	0.41	0.20	0.27	Industrials	Electrical Equipment & Parts
HD한국조선해양	009540.KS	-	0.36	0.22	0.39	0.31	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
HD현대	267250.KS	-	0.67	0.09	0.23	0.32	Energy	Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
LG이노텍	011070.KS	-	0.28	0.31	0.43	0.32	Technology	Electronic Components
더블유게임즈	192080.KS	-	0.80	0.06	0.20	0.35	Communication Services	Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
아모레퍼시픽홀딩스	002790.KS	-	0.70	0.10	0.36	0.36	Consumer Defensive	Household & Personal Products
종근당	185750.KS	-	0.54	0.43	0.24	0.43	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
대웅	003090.KS	-	0.45	0.45	0.38	0.44	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
DL이앤씨	375500.KS	-	0.57	0.32	0.77	0.50	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
현대건설	000720.KS	-	0.55	0.35	0.76	0.50	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
금호석유화학	011780.KS	-	0.54	0.55	0.32	0.50	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
씨에스윈드	112610.KS	-	0.58	0.52	0.44	0.52	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
KG스틸	016380.KS	-	0.79	0.48	0.17	0.53	Basic Materials	Steel
삼성E&A	028050.KS	-	1.00	0.19	0.50	0.54	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
한화	000880.KS	-	1.00	0.18	0.66	0.56	Industrials	Conglomerates
LX인터내셔널	001120.KS	-	0.43	0.75	0.42	0.57	Industrials	Conglomerates
HMM	011200.KS	-	1.12	0.18	0.81	0.64	Industrials	Marine Shipping
오리온홀딩스	001800.KS	-	1.24	0.09	0.83	0.64	Consumer Defensive	Confectioners
대한전선	001440.KS	-	0.50	0.89	0.39	0.65	Industrials	Electrical Equipment & Parts
TKG휴켐스	069260.KS	-	1.15	0.41	0.49	0.69	Basic Materials	Chemicals
에스엘	005850.KS	-	1.02	0.39	0.78	0.69	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
LG전자	066570.KS	-	0.11	1.00	1.00	0.69	Technology	Consumer Electronics
기아	000270.KS	-	1.19	0.18	0.96	0.69	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Manufacturers
코오롱인더	120110.KS	-	0.43	0.86	0.77	0.69	Basic Materials	Chemicals
현대위아	011210.KS	-	0.49	0.55	1.37	0.69	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
명신산업	009900.KS	-	0.98	0.47	0.78	0.71	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
대상	001680.KS	-	0.47	1.00	0.49	0.71	Consumer Defensive	Packaged Foods
팬오션	028670.KS	-	0.21	1.00	1.00	0.72	Industrials	Marine Shipping
한화시스템	272210.KS	-	1.18	0.49	0.45	0.73	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
DL	000210.KS	-	0.26	0.98	1.00	0.73	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
한화에어로스페이스	012450.KS	-	1.17	0.55	0.44	0.74	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
현대제철	004020.KS	-	0.67	0.88	0.60	0.75	Basic Materials	Steel
대우건설	047040.KS	-	0.41	1.02	0.78	0.76	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
영원무역	111770.KS	-	1.00	0.63	0.73	0.78	Consumer Cyclical	Apparel Manufacturing