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2025-03-18 대형주 가치투자 전략

March 18, 2025, 7:41 a.m.

주의: 금리 역전 발생


2025년 03월 18일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

  • 금리 역전 현상: 발생
    • 10Y-2Y: 0.25% (-4bp)
    • 10Y-3M: -0.03% (-1bp)
  • 변동성(VIX): 정상 · 20.5 (-5.8%)
  • 투자 심리(FearGreed): Extreme Fear · 22.0 (+4.8%)
  • 시장 동향:
    • S&P 500: 강보합 (+0.6%)
    • KOSPI 200: 상승 (+2.2%)

2. 저평가 대형주 현황

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
Hewlett Packard EnterpriseHPE-0.230.29TechnologyCommunication Equipment
PayPalPYPL-0.130.40Financial ServicesCredit Services
JabilJBL-0.200.41TechnologyElectronic Components
ViatrisVTRS-0.280.43HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
APA CorporationAPA-0.240.50EnergyOil & Gas E&P
CumminsCMI-0.360.45IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
ON SemiconductorON-0.510.31TechnologySemiconductors
AmentumAMTM-0.080.74IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Best BuyBBY-0.220.61Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Akamai TechnologiesAKAM-0.280.56TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Builders FirstSourceBLDR-0.370.49IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
LyondellBasellLYB-0.270.58Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Global PaymentsGPN-0.460.42IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBD-0.420.48Communication ServicesEntertainment
LeidosLDOS-0.300.64TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Skyworks SolutionsSWKS-0.530.43TechnologySemiconductors
Gen DigitalGEN-0.390.57TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesHII-0.370.62IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
BiogenBIIB-0.470.53HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
HP Inc.HPQ-0.410.61TechnologyComputer Hardware
Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI-0.530.50Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Eastman Chemical CompanyEMN-0.520.51Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
QorvoQRVO-0.350.69TechnologySemiconductors
LabcorpLH-0.310.73HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Zimmer BiometZBH-0.500.57HealthcareMedical Devices
Quest DiagnosticsDGX-0.390.69HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
IQVIAIQV-0.440.67HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Micron TechnologyMU-0.740.39TechnologySemiconductors
Devon EnergyDVN-0.470.69EnergyOil & Gas E&P
PfizerPFE-0.520.64HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Centene CorporationCNC-0.580.59HealthcareHealthcare Plans
PaycomPAYC-0.710.47TechnologySoftware - Application
Match GroupMTCH-0.420.77Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information
Mosaic Company (The)MOS-0.420.77Basic MaterialsAgricultural Inputs
Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH-0.400.80Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
CognizantCTSHSELL0.540.67TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Edison InternationalEIX-0.440.77UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
Regeneron PharmaceuticalsREGN-0.780.42HealthcareBiotechnology
Darden RestaurantsDRISELL0.430.78Consumer CyclicalRestaurants
PepsiCoPEP-0.480.73Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
CorpayCPAY-0.550.67TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
TextronTXT-0.560.69IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
GeneracGNRC-0.500.77IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
HalliburtonHAL-0.620.74EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services
MedtronicMDT-0.630.75HealthcareMedical Devices
Automatic Data ProcessingADPSELL0.730.65TechnologySoftware - Application
WestRockWRK-0.650.73Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers
Bunge GlobalBG-0.740.66Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
A. O. SmithAOS-0.700.70IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
BorgWarnerBWA-0.610.80Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
Western DigitalWDC-0.770.64TechnologyComputer Hardware
MascoMAS-0.790.70IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
PPG IndustriesPPG-0.760.75Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
LG이노텍011070.KS-0.270.20TechnologyElectronic Components
LS006260.KS-0.100.42IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
세방전지004490.KS-0.340.20IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
HD한국조선해양009540.KS-0.270.32IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
아모레G002790.KS-0.530.11Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
종근당185750.KS-0.420.27HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
대웅003090.KS-0.290.43HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
HD현대267250.KS-0.440.28EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
현대건설000720.KS-0.380.47IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
더블유게임즈192080.KS-0.790.17Communication ServicesElectronic Gaming & Multimedia
GS리테일007070.KS-0.420.59Consumer CyclicalDepartment Stores
대한유화006650.KS-0.470.57Basic MaterialsChemicals
LX인터내셔널001120.KS-0.460.65IndustrialsConglomerates
삼성SDI006400.KS-0.580.56IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
현대위아011210.KS-0.450.78Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
씨에스윈드112610.KS-0.620.66IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
KCC002380.KS-0.660.65Basic MaterialsChemicals
DL이앤씨375500.KS-0.760.56IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
CJ001040.KS-0.770.78IndustrialsConglomerates

3. 투자 전략

• 금리 역전이 발생한 상황으로, 보수적인 접근이 필요합니다.

• 현금 비중을 30% 이상으로 유지하는 것을 권장합니다.

• 투자 심리가 극도로 위축된 상황으로, 중장기 투자자에게는 좋은 매수 기회가 될 수 있습니다.

• 단, 시장 하락 가능성이 있어 분할 매수 전략이 필요합니다.


본 리포트는 투자정보 제공이 목적이며, 시장 상황에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있습니다. 제시된 정보는 투자 참고사항이며, 투자 판단의 최종 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.

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