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2025-04-03 대형주 가치투자 전략

April 3, 2025, 7:39 a.m.

주의: 금리 역전 발생


2025년 04월 03일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

  • 금리 역전 현상: 발생
    • 10Y-2Y: 0.29% (-1bp)
    • 10Y-3M: -0.12% (+3bp)
  • 변동성(VIX): 정상 · 21.5 (-1.2%)
  • 투자 심리(FearGreed): Extreme Fear · 22.0 (-24.1%)
  • 시장 동향:
    • S&P 500: 강보합 (+0.7%)
    • KOSPI 200: 약보합 (-0.6%)

2. 저평가 대형주 현황

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
PayPalPYPL-0.120.36Financial ServicesCredit Services
Hewlett Packard EnterpriseHPE-0.230.28TechnologyCommunication Equipment
ViatrisVTRS-0.270.42HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
APA CorporationAPA-0.250.47EnergyOil & Gas E&P
AmentumAMTM-0.080.70IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
CumminsCMI-0.360.45IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
JabilJBL-0.200.60TechnologyElectronic Components
Warner Bros. DiscoveryWBD-0.390.42Communication ServicesEntertainment
ON SemiconductorON-0.500.30TechnologySemiconductors
Akamai TechnologiesAKAM-0.290.54TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
LyondellBasellLYB-0.270.57Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Global PaymentsGPN-0.450.41IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Builders FirstSourceBLDR-0.370.50IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
Best BuyBBY-0.200.69Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
LeidosLDOS-0.290.62TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Skyworks SolutionsSWKS-0.530.39TechnologySemiconductors
Gen DigitalGEN-0.390.54TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Micron TechnologyMU-0.650.32TechnologySemiconductors
BiogenBIIB-0.470.52HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesHII-0.370.63IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI-0.470.56Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Eastman Chemical CompanyEMN-0.520.51Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Target CorporationTGT-0.480.54Consumer DefensiveDiscount Stores
Zimmer BiometZBH-0.500.56HealthcareMedical Devices
QorvoQRVO-0.370.72TechnologySemiconductors
LabcorpLH-0.320.77HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
IQVIAIQV-0.440.68HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
Devon EnergyDVN-0.480.66EnergyOil & Gas E&P
Centene CorporationCNCBUY0.540.59HealthcareHealthcare Plans
CognizantCTSH-0.520.63TechnologyInformation Technology Services
PfizerPFE-0.530.63HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Quest DiagnosticsDGXSELL0.420.74HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
HP Inc.HPQ-0.470.69TechnologyComputer Hardware
PepsiCoPEP-0.460.71Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH-0.400.79Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
Mosaic Company (The)MOS-0.420.78Basic MaterialsAgricultural Inputs
CarnivalCCL-0.410.79Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
Edison InternationalEIX-0.440.76UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
Regeneron PharmaceuticalsREGN-0.790.43HealthcareBiotechnology
TextronTXT-0.540.68IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
PaycomPAYC-0.730.50TechnologySoftware - Application
GeneracGNRC-0.490.75IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
CorpayCPAY-0.580.66TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
SolventumSOLV-0.480.77HealthcareMedical Instruments & Supplies
MedtronicMDT-0.580.69HealthcareMedical Devices
EPAM SystemsEPAM-0.550.76TechnologyInformation Technology Services
PG&E CorporationPCG-0.510.80UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
HalliburtonHAL-0.610.73EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services
NXP SemiconductorsNXPI-0.790.56TechnologySemiconductors
WestRockWRK-0.650.73Consumer CyclicalPackaging & Containers
A. O. SmithAOS-0.700.69IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
BorgWarnerBWA-0.630.79Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
Automatic Data ProcessingADP-0.740.68TechnologySoftware - Application
Bunge GlobalBG-0.750.68Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
PPG IndustriesPPG-0.760.73Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
SterisSTE-0.700.79HealthcareMedical Devices
MascoMAS-0.790.72IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
SalesforceCRM-0.770.76TechnologySoftware - Application

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
섹터 산업
녹십자홀딩스005250.KS-0.020.21HealthcareBiotechnology
HD한국조선해양009540.KS-0.290.22IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
LG이노텍011070.KS-0.300.20TechnologyElectronic Components
LS006260.KS-0.090.46IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
세방전지004490.KS-0.370.20IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
아모레G002790.KS-0.510.08Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
한화000880.KS-0.560.10IndustrialsConglomerates
HD현대267250.KS-0.530.15EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
대웅003090.KS-0.300.43HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
현대건설000720.KS-0.410.45IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
종근당185750.KS-0.480.39HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
DL이앤씨375500.KS-0.660.30IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
대한유화006650.KS-0.460.58Basic MaterialsChemicals
씨에스윈드112610.KS-0.590.50IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
LX인터내셔널001120.KS-0.400.73IndustrialsConglomerates
현대위아011210.KS-0.430.77Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
삼성SDI006400.KS-0.680.59IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
KCC002380.KS-0.670.70Basic MaterialsChemicals
GS리테일007070.KS-0.650.74Consumer CyclicalDepartment Stores

3. 투자 전략

• 금리 역전이 발생한 상황으로, 보수적인 접근이 필요합니다.

• 현금 비중을 30% 이상으로 유지하는 것을 권장합니다.

• 투자 심리가 극도로 위축된 상황으로, 중장기 투자자에게는 좋은 매수 기회가 될 수 있습니다.

• 단, 시장 하락 가능성이 있어 분할 매수 전략이 필요합니다.


본 리포트는 투자정보 제공이 목적이며, 시장 상황에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있습니다. 제시된 정보는 투자 참고사항이며, 투자 판단의 최종 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.

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