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2025-04-25 대형주 가치투자 전략

April 25, 2025, 7:36 a.m.

Buy: 1, Trending: Technology(매도), Energy(매도)


2025년 04월 25일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

  • 금리 역전 현상: 없음
    • 10Y-2Y: 0.55% (-4bp)
    • 10Y-3M: 0.00% (-7bp)
  • 변동성(VIX): 정상 · 26.5 (-7.0%)
  • 투자 심리(FearGreed): Fear · 31.0 (+10.7%)
  • 시장 동향:
    • S&P 500: 상승 (+2.0%)
    • KOSPI 200: 보합 (변동없음)

2. 섹터 트렌드 현황 (최근 30일)

[S&P500 섹터 트렌드]

시장 섹터 종목 수 매수 매도 트렌드
SNP500Energy23016매도
SNP500Utilities32214매도
SNP500Communication Services2429약매도
SNP500Consumer Defensive37511약매도
SNP500Real Estate3148약매도
SNP500Financial Services68022약매도
SNP500Industrials72815중립
SNP500Healthcare63414약매도
SNP500Technology83812중립
SNP500Basic Materials2232중립
SNP500Consumer Cyclical5847중립

[KOSPI200 섹터 트렌드]

시장 섹터 종목 수 매수 매도 트렌드
KOSPI200Financial Services22511매도
KOSPI200Technology16110매도
KOSPI200Communication Services1161매수
KOSPI200Consumer Defensive2167중립
KOSPI200Basic Materials28116매도
KOSPI200Consumer Cyclical34414매도
KOSPI200Utilities210매수
KOSPI200Industrials551112중립
KOSPI200Healthcare1631중립
KOSPI200Energy300중립

3. 저평가 대형주 현황

가중점수 계산 방법: 각 지표의 상대비율에 가중치를 적용하여 계산한 종합 점수입니다.
  • EV/EBITDA: 45% (기업 가치 안정성)
  • P/S: 35% (매출 기반 밸류에이션)
  • P/E: 20% (수익성 고려)

점수가 낮을수록 해당 산업 내에서 상대적으로 저평가된 종목입니다.

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
P/E
상대비율
가중
점수
섹터 산업
PayPalPYPL-0.120.350.460.29Financial ServicesCredit Services
Hewlett Packard EnterpriseHPE-0.270.310.300.30TechnologyCommunication Equipment
Global PaymentsGPN-0.350.320.420.35IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
APA CorporationAPA-0.210.440.510.38EnergyOil & Gas E&P
ON SemiconductorON-0.520.320.310.39TechnologySemiconductors
CumminsCMI-0.330.440.420.40IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
LyondellBasellLYB-0.250.530.440.41Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
AmentumAMTMBUY0.100.690.510.45IndustrialsSpecialty Business Services
Builders FirstSourceBLDR-0.370.510.500.46IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
Micron TechnologyMU-0.610.300.540.46TechnologySemiconductors
Target CorporationTGT-0.390.470.560.46Consumer DefensiveDiscount Stores
Eastman Chemical CompanyEMN-0.520.500.320.47Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Akamai TechnologiesAKAM-0.270.510.750.48TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
Zimmer BiometZBH-0.430.460.620.48HealthcareMedical Devices
Skyworks SolutionsSWKS-0.540.410.560.48TechnologySemiconductors
BiogenBIIB-0.420.520.610.50HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Gen DigitalGEN-0.370.520.780.52TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
ViatrisVTRS-0.240.431.270.53HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
InvescoIVZ-0.360.660.560.53Financial ServicesAsset Management
LeidosLDOS-0.320.680.610.54TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Devon EnergyDVN-0.460.630.510.55EnergyOil & Gas E&P
Regeneron PharmaceuticalsREGN-0.830.450.370.56HealthcareBiotechnology
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesHII-0.380.710.570.57IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
CognizantCTSH-0.490.620.620.58TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH-0.360.780.490.58Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
JabilJBL-0.210.700.950.58TechnologyElectronic Components
HP Inc.HPQ-0.450.670.620.58TechnologyComputer Hardware
TextronTXT-0.480.680.560.58IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
PepsiCoPEP-0.430.680.650.58Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Bath & Body Works, Inc.BBWI-0.550.650.530.59Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
Centene CorporationCNC-0.580.610.580.59HealthcareHealthcare Plans
Trimble Inc.TRMB-1.000.370.370.59TechnologyScientific & Technical Instruments
IQVIAIQV-0.420.660.760.59HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
MedtronicMDT-0.540.590.710.60HealthcareMedical Devices
Best BuyBBY-0.210.720.990.60Consumer CyclicalSpecialty Retail
PaycomPAYC-0.770.510.520.60TechnologySoftware - Application
CorpayCPAY-0.530.610.730.61TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
SolventumSOLV-0.410.720.720.61HealthcareMedical Instruments & Supplies
Fox Corporation (Class B)FOX-0.930.530.270.62Communication ServicesEntertainment
CarnivalCCL-0.400.790.650.63Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
CDW CorporationCDW-0.270.860.760.63TechnologyInformation Technology Services
AptivAPTV-0.950.490.430.64Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
PfizerPFE-0.480.640.920.64HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
BorgWarnerBWA-0.590.550.930.64Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
Adobe Inc.ADBE-0.840.550.490.64TechnologySoftware - Application
FedExFDX-0.650.610.710.64IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Fox Corporation (Class A)FOXA-1.000.530.300.65Communication ServicesEntertainment
GeneracGNRC-0.440.720.850.65IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
EPAM SystemsEPAM-0.510.720.770.65TechnologyInformation Technology Services
Edison InternationalEIX-0.440.760.790.65UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
Kimberly-ClarkKMB-0.800.620.480.66Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
Merck & Co.MRK-0.740.580.680.66HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - General
Match GroupMTCH-0.420.800.750.66Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information
UberUBER-0.431.000.340.67TechnologySoftware - Application
Darden RestaurantsDRI-0.450.780.810.67Consumer CyclicalRestaurants
QualcommQCOM-0.900.590.470.67TechnologySemiconductors
Healthpeak PropertiesDOC-0.810.620.570.68Real EstateREIT - Healthcare Facilities
LabcorpLH-0.350.800.980.68HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
PG&E CorporationPCG-0.530.810.680.68UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated Electric
Quest DiagnosticsDGX-0.460.790.850.69HealthcareDiagnostics & Research
NXP SemiconductorsNXPI-0.850.620.580.69TechnologySemiconductors
Automatic Data ProcessingADP-0.760.670.650.70TechnologySoftware - Application
WeyerhaeuserWY-0.290.881.000.70Real EstateREIT - Specialty
F5, Inc.FFIV-0.500.800.850.71TechnologySoftware - Infrastructure
A. O. SmithAOS-0.710.720.730.72IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
PPG IndustriesPPG-0.790.740.560.72Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Bunge GlobalBG-0.750.690.760.72Consumer DefensiveFarm Products
HologicHOLX-1.010.600.550.73HealthcareMedical Instruments & Supplies
MascoMAS-0.720.790.620.73IndustrialsBuilding Products & Equipment
Dover CorporationDOV-0.860.670.680.74IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
T. Rowe PriceTROW-0.960.710.490.75Financial ServicesAsset Management
Caesars EntertainmentCZR-0.580.940.650.75Consumer CyclicalResorts & Casinos
SterisSTE-0.680.711.000.76HealthcareMedical Devices
Western DigitalWDC-0.830.700.770.76TechnologyComputer Hardware
SalesforceCRM-0.760.730.840.76TechnologySoftware - Application
CF IndustriesCF-1.330.490.360.76Basic MaterialsAgricultural Inputs
HalliburtonHAL-0.620.860.790.76EnergyOil & Gas Equipment & Services
PaccarPCAR-0.620.840.840.77IndustrialsFarm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Expedia GroupEXPE-0.620.800.960.77Consumer CyclicalTravel Services
American Airlines GroupAAL-0.291.031.010.77IndustrialsAirlines
StarbucksSBUX-0.570.840.950.77Consumer CyclicalRestaurants
Cboe Global MarketsCBOE-0.600.880.830.77Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock Exchanges
Cardinal HealthCAH-0.670.850.880.79HealthcareMedical Distribution
Crown CastleCCI-0.760.850.720.79Real EstateREIT - Specialty
Abbott LaboratoriesABT-0.890.870.470.80HealthcareMedical Devices
Universal Health ServicesUHS-0.760.840.770.80HealthcareMedical Care Facilities

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명 코드 기술적
신호
P/S
상대비율
EV/EBITDA
상대비율
P/E
상대비율
가중
점수
섹터 산업
녹십자홀딩스005250.KS-0.020.210.370.18HealthcareBiotechnology
세방전지004490.KS-0.380.200.190.26IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
HD한국조선해양009540.KS-0.310.220.390.29IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
아모레G002790.KS-0.550.090.370.30Consumer DefensiveHousehold & Personal Products
HD현대267250.KS-0.620.160.150.32EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
LG이노텍011070.KS-0.280.190.680.32TechnologyElectronic Components
LS006260.KS-0.100.490.480.35IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
대웅003090.KS-0.400.380.230.36HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
종근당185750.KS-0.630.340.160.41HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
더블유게임즈192080.KS-0.960.130.260.45Communication ServicesElectronic Gaming & Multimedia
한화000880.KS-0.730.110.830.47IndustrialsConglomerates
오리온홀딩스001800.KS-1.100.020.600.51Consumer DefensiveConfectioners
DL이앤씨375500.KS-0.600.300.880.52IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
현대건설000720.KS-0.400.441.010.54IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
삼성E&A028050.KS-1.090.160.570.57IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
KCC002380.KS-0.610.700.280.58Basic MaterialsChemicals
DL000210.KS-0.250.940.390.59Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
씨에스윈드112610.KS-0.610.640.700.64IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial Machinery
KG스틸016380.KS-0.840.680.200.64Basic MaterialsSteel
영원무역111770.KS-1.000.380.660.65Consumer CyclicalApparel Manufacturing
삼성SDI006400.KS-0.660.580.810.65IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & Parts
금호석유화학011780.KS-0.840.650.430.67Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
한화시스템272210.KS-1.160.430.390.67IndustrialsAerospace & Defense
TKG휴켐스069260.KS-1.180.420.380.68Basic MaterialsChemicals
LX인터내셔널001120.KS-0.550.750.780.69IndustrialsConglomerates
명신산업009900.KS-0.890.590.650.70Consumer CyclicalAuto Parts
기아000270.KS-1.140.270.920.71Consumer CyclicalAuto Manufacturers
GS건설006360.KS-0.311.030.680.71IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
LG전자066570.KS-0.111.001.110.71TechnologyConsumer Electronics
코오롱인더120110.KS-0.550.910.570.71Basic MaterialsChemicals
HMM011200.KS-1.210.320.780.72IndustrialsMarine Shipping
팬오션028670.KS-0.251.001.000.74IndustrialsMarine Shipping
대우건설047040.KS-0.371.070.670.74IndustrialsEngineering & Construction
대상001680.KS-0.531.000.610.76Consumer DefensivePackaged Foods
현대제철004020.KS-0.650.920.600.76Basic MaterialsSteel

4. 투자 전략

• 투자 심리가 크게 개선(10.7% 상승)되었으나, 급격한 심리 변화에 따른 변동성에 주의하는 것이 좋습니다.


본 리포트는 투자정보 제공이 목적이며, 시장 상황에 따라 결과가 달라질 수 있습니다. 제시된 정보는 투자 참고사항이며, 투자 판단의 최종 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.