FinSwanX

2025-04-30 대형주 가치투자 전략

April 30, 2025, 7:33 a.m.

금리 역전, Buy: 2, Trending: Energy(매도)

2025년 04월 30일 대형주 가치투자 전략 리포트

1. 시장 상황 분석

금리 역전 현상: 발생
- 10Y-2Y: 0.54% (-2bp)
- 10Y-3M: -0.12% (-3bp)
변동성(VIX): 정상 · 24.2 (-3.9%)
투자 심리(FearGreed): Fear · 38.0 (+5.6%)
시장 동향:
- S&P 500: 강보합 (+0.6%)
- KOSPI 200: 강보합 (+0.6%)

2. 섹터 트렌드 현황 (최근 30일)

[S&P500 섹터 트렌드]

시장	섹터	종목 수	매수	매도	트렌드
SNP500	Energy	23	1	15	매도
SNP500	Utilities	31	3	13	매도
SNP500	Consumer Defensive	37	6	11	약매도
SNP500	Communication Services	24	3	8	약매도
SNP500	Real Estate	31	6	7	중립
SNP500	Financial Services	68	4	20	약매도
SNP500	Industrials	73	13	11	중립
SNP500	Healthcare	63	6	12	중립
SNP500	Basic Materials	22	3	2	중립
SNP500	Technology	83	13	5	중립
SNP500	Consumer Cyclical	58	7	5	중립

[KOSPI200 섹터 트렌드]

시장	섹터	종목 수	매수	매도	트렌드
KOSPI200	Consumer Defensive	21	11	3	매수
KOSPI200	Communication Services	11	6	1	매수
KOSPI200	Financial Services	22	9	5	약매수
KOSPI200	Technology	16	1	9	매도
KOSPI200	Basic Materials	28	2	14	매도
KOSPI200	Consumer Cyclical	34	8	11	중립
KOSPI200	Utilities	2	1	0	매수
KOSPI200	Industrials	55	15	7	약매수
KOSPI200	Healthcare	16	4	1	약매수
KOSPI200	Energy	3	0	0	중립

3. 저평가 대형주 현황

가중점수 계산 방법: 각 지표의 상대비율에 가중치를 적용하여 계산한 종합 점수입니다.

EV/EBITDA: 45% (기업 가치 안정성)
P/S: 35% (매출 기반 밸류에이션)
P/E: 20% (수익성 고려)

점수가 낮을수록 해당 산업 내에서 상대적으로 저평가된 종목입니다.

[S&P500 저평가 종목]

회사명	코드	기술적 신호	P/S 상대비율	EV/EBITDA 상대비율	P/E 상대비율	가중 점수	섹터	산업
PayPal	PYPL	-	0.12	0.36	0.48	0.30	Financial Services	Credit Services
Hewlett Packard Enterprise	HPE	-	0.28	0.32	0.32	0.31	Technology	Communication Equipment
Global Payments	GPN	-	0.36	0.32	0.44	0.36	Industrials	Specialty Business Services
APA Corporation	APA	-	0.22	0.45	0.54	0.39	Energy	Oil & Gas E&P
ON Semiconductor	ON	-	0.52	0.32	0.33	0.39	Technology	Semiconductors
Cummins	CMI	-	0.34	0.43	0.42	0.40	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
Eastman Chemical Company	EMN	-	0.48	0.49	0.30	0.45	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
Builders FirstSource	BLDR	-	0.37	0.51	0.49	0.46	Industrials	Building Products & Equipment
Micron Technology	MU	-	0.60	0.30	0.55	0.46	Technology	Semiconductors
Akamai Technologies	AKAM	-	0.28	0.49	0.75	0.47	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
Amentum	AMTM	-	0.10	0.73	0.52	0.47	Industrials	Specialty Business Services
Zimmer Biomet	ZBH	-	0.43	0.44	0.63	0.48	Healthcare	Medical Devices
Skyworks Solutions	SWKS	-	0.52	0.40	0.56	0.48	Technology	Semiconductors
Target Corporation	TGT	-	0.43	0.50	0.60	0.49	Consumer Defensive	Discount Stores
Gen Digital	GEN	-	0.37	0.49	0.76	0.50	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
LyondellBasell	LYB	-	0.24	0.65	0.64	0.51	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
Invesco	IVZ	-	0.35	0.68	0.55	0.54	Financial Services	Asset Management
Viatris	VTRS	-	0.26	0.43	1.27	0.54	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Devon Energy	DVN	-	0.46	0.63	0.51	0.55	Energy	Oil & Gas E&P
Leidos	LDOS	-	0.34	0.71	0.61	0.56	Technology	Information Technology Services
HP Inc.	HPQ	-	0.41	0.66	0.61	0.56	Technology	Computer Hardware
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings	NCLH	-	0.36	0.77	0.49	0.57	Consumer Cyclical	Travel Services
Centene Corporation	CNC	-	0.55	0.61	0.53	0.57	Healthcare	Healthcare Plans
Corpay	CPAY	-	0.51	0.57	0.69	0.57	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
Biogen	BIIB	-	0.43	0.69	0.59	0.58	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
Medtronic	MDT	-	0.53	0.56	0.71	0.58	Healthcare	Medical Devices
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals	REGN	-	0.85	0.46	0.38	0.58	Healthcare	Biotechnology
PepsiCo	PEP	-	0.42	0.67	0.65	0.58	Consumer Defensive	Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Jabil	JBL	-	0.22	0.71	0.95	0.58	Technology	Electronic Components
Trimble Inc.	TRMB	-	1.00	0.37	0.37	0.59	Technology	Scientific & Technical Instruments
Cognizant	CTSH	-	0.52	0.64	0.62	0.60	Technology	Information Technology Services
Solventum	SOLV	-	0.41	0.71	0.70	0.60	Healthcare	Medical Instruments & Supplies
Huntington Ingalls Industries	HII	-	0.40	0.76	0.63	0.61	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
IQVIA	IQV	-	0.42	0.68	0.76	0.61	Healthcare	Diagnostics & Research
Paycom	PAYC	-	0.80	0.50	0.52	0.61	Technology	Software - Application
Best Buy	BBY	-	0.22	0.75	1.00	0.61	Consumer Cyclical	Specialty Retail
Bath & Body Works, Inc.	BBWI	-	0.58	0.67	0.55	0.61	Consumer Cyclical	Specialty Retail
Fox Corporation (Class B)	FOX	-	0.93	0.52	0.27	0.61	Communication Services	Entertainment
Textron	TXT	-	0.48	0.73	0.60	0.62	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
Carnival	CCL	-	0.40	0.78	0.64	0.62	Consumer Cyclical	Travel Services
Healthpeak Properties	DOC	-	0.77	0.57	0.46	0.62	Real Estate	REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Kimberly-Clark	KMB	-	0.77	0.61	0.47	0.64	Consumer Defensive	Household & Personal Products
Fox Corporation (Class A)	FOXA	-	1.00	0.52	0.30	0.64	Communication Services	Entertainment
Generac	GNRC	-	0.46	0.70	0.85	0.65	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
CDW Corporation	CDW	-	0.29	0.88	0.77	0.65	Technology	Information Technology Services
Adobe Inc.	ADBE	-	0.88	0.54	0.50	0.65	Technology	Software - Application
Qualcomm	QCOM	-	0.87	0.57	0.47	0.66	Technology	Semiconductors
Edison International	EIX	-	0.45	0.77	0.79	0.66	Utilities	Utilities - Regulated Electric
Darden Restaurants	DRI	-	0.44	0.77	0.80	0.66	Consumer Cyclical	Restaurants
F5, Inc.	FFIV	-	0.49	0.75	0.80	0.67	Technology	Software - Infrastructure
BorgWarner	BWA	-	0.63	0.58	0.95	0.67	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
Automatic Data Processing	ADP	-	0.76	0.63	0.63	0.68	Technology	Software - Application
Aptiv	APTV	-	1.02	0.52	0.44	0.68	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
Uber	UBER	-	0.45	1.00	0.35	0.68	Technology	Software - Application
PG&E Corporation	PCG	-	0.53	0.81	0.71	0.69	Utilities	Utilities - Regulated Electric
NXP Semiconductors	NXPI	-	0.85	0.61	0.60	0.69	Technology	Semiconductors
EPAM Systems	EPAM	-	0.55	0.76	0.78	0.69	Technology	Information Technology Services
Labcorp	LH	-	0.35	0.84	0.99	0.70	Healthcare	Diagnostics & Research
Quest Diagnostics	DGX	-	0.46	0.81	0.85	0.70	Healthcare	Diagnostics & Research
Weyerhaeuser	WY	-	0.29	0.90	1.00	0.71	Real Estate	REIT - Specialty
A. O. Smith	AOS	-	0.72	0.70	0.72	0.71	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
Match Group	MTCH	-	0.44	0.87	0.82	0.71	Communication Services	Internet Content & Information
Bristol Myers Squibb	BMY	-	0.49	0.76	1.00	0.72	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
PPG Industries	PPG	-	0.78	0.74	0.56	0.72	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
Masco	MAS	-	0.71	0.78	0.60	0.72	Industrials	Building Products & Equipment
Hologic	HOLX	-	1.00	0.59	0.54	0.72	Healthcare	Medical Instruments & Supplies
Halliburton	HAL	-	0.62	0.80	0.75	0.72	Energy	Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Steris	STE	-	0.66	0.67	1.00	0.74	Healthcare	Medical Devices
Caesars Entertainment	CZR	-	0.58	0.91	0.61	0.74	Consumer Cyclical	Resorts & Casinos
Pfizer	PFE	-	0.49	0.86	0.90	0.74	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - General
Bunge Global	BG	-	0.79	0.70	0.77	0.74	Consumer Defensive	Farm Products
T. Rowe Price	TROW	-	0.94	0.72	0.48	0.75	Financial Services	Asset Management
FedEx	FDX	-	0.65	0.85	0.70	0.75	Industrials	Integrated Freight & Logistics
Crown Castle	CCI	-	0.74	0.82	0.65	0.76	Real Estate	REIT - Specialty
Western Digital	WDC	-	0.80	0.72	0.79	0.76	Technology	Computer Hardware
CF Industries	CF	-	1.33	0.50	0.37	0.76	Basic Materials	Agricultural Inputs
Paccar	PCAR	-	0.62	0.84	0.84	0.76	Industrials	Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Expedia Group	EXPE	-	0.61	0.80	0.95	0.76	Consumer Cyclical	Travel Services
Abbott Laboratories	ABT	-	0.86	0.82	0.47	0.77	Healthcare	Medical Devices
Starbucks	SBUX	-	0.57	0.85	0.96	0.78	Consumer Cyclical	Restaurants
Salesforce	CRM	-	0.81	0.73	0.86	0.78	Technology	Software - Application
Cboe Global Markets	CBOE	-	0.59	0.91	0.86	0.79	Financial Services	Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Marathon Petroleum	MPC	-	1.06	0.68	0.57	0.79	Energy	Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Cardinal Health	CAH	-	0.67	0.86	0.89	0.80	Healthcare	Medical Distribution

[KOSPI200 저평가 종목]

회사명	코드	기술적 신호	P/S 상대비율	EV/EBITDA 상대비율	P/E 상대비율	가중 점수	섹터	산업
녹십자홀딩스	005250.KS	-	0.02	0.22	0.38	0.18	Healthcare	Biotechnology
세방전지	004490.KS	-	0.38	0.19	0.19	0.26	Industrials	Electrical Equipment & Parts
HD현대	267250.KS	-	0.57	0.16	0.16	0.30	Energy	Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
HD한국조선해양	009540.KS	-	0.32	0.24	0.42	0.30	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
아모레퍼시픽홀딩스	002790.KS	-	0.55	0.09	0.38	0.31	Consumer Defensive	Household & Personal Products
LG이노텍	011070.KS	-	0.29	0.19	0.68	0.32	Technology	Electronic Components
대웅	003090.KS	-	0.39	0.37	0.23	0.35	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
LS	006260.KS	-	0.11	0.47	0.51	0.35	Industrials	Electrical Equipment & Parts
종근당	185750.KS	-	0.59	0.33	0.15	0.39	Healthcare	Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
더블유게임즈	192080.KS	-	0.98	0.14	0.27	0.46	Communication Services	Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
한화	000880.KS	-	0.73	0.12	0.80	0.47	Industrials	Conglomerates
DL이앤씨	375500.KS	-	0.59	0.30	0.90	0.52	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
현대건설	000720.KS	-	0.38	0.42	1.01	0.52	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
오리온홀딩스	001800.KS	-	1.12	0.02	0.62	0.53	Consumer Defensive	Confectioners
삼성E&A	028050.KS	-	1.00	0.14	0.56	0.53	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
DL	000210.KS	-	0.24	0.90	0.40	0.57	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
씨에스윈드	112610.KS	-	0.54	0.57	0.62	0.57	Industrials	Specialty Industrial Machinery
KCC	002380.KS	-	0.62	0.70	0.28	0.59	Basic Materials	Chemicals
삼성SDI	006400.KS	-	0.62	0.54	0.79	0.62	Industrials	Electrical Equipment & Parts
금호석유화학	011780.KS	BUY	0.78	0.62	0.43	0.64	Basic Materials	Specialty Chemicals
KG스틸	016380.KS	-	0.84	0.69	0.18	0.64	Basic Materials	Steel
영원무역	111770.KS	-	1.00	0.37	0.64	0.64	Consumer Cyclical	Apparel Manufacturing
HMM	011200.KS	-	1.12	0.29	0.75	0.67	Industrials	Marine Shipping
LX인터내셔널	001120.KS	-	0.55	0.76	0.76	0.68	Industrials	Conglomerates
TKG휴켐스	069260.KS	-	1.20	0.43	0.37	0.69	Basic Materials	Chemicals
명신산업	009900.KS	-	0.87	0.58	0.65	0.69	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts
GS건설	006360.KS	-	0.32	1.00	0.71	0.70	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
한화시스템	272210.KS	-	1.20	0.45	0.42	0.71	Industrials	Aerospace & Defense
기아	000270.KS	-	1.14	0.28	0.92	0.71	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Manufacturers
LG전자	066570.KS	-	0.12	1.00	1.13	0.72	Technology	Consumer Electronics
코오롱인더	120110.KS	-	0.55	0.92	0.56	0.72	Basic Materials	Chemicals
팬오션	028670.KS	-	0.24	1.00	1.00	0.73	Industrials	Marine Shipping
대우건설	047040.KS	-	0.38	1.05	0.71	0.75	Industrials	Engineering & Construction
현대제철	004020.KS	-	0.65	0.93	0.52	0.75	Basic Materials	Steel
대상	001680.KS	BUY	0.51	1.00	0.61	0.75	Consumer Defensive	Packaged Foods
에스엘	005850.KS	-	1.00	0.60	0.82	0.78	Consumer Cyclical	Auto Parts